EVENTS:   The Great Reset: AI, Geopolitics and The End of The Cheap Chips - MS Hwang/Counterpoint Research - 10 Feb 26   Making Weather Pay – The Outlook For Global Commodities - James Roemer/Best Weather - 11 Feb 26     ROADSHOWS: Thematic Research Based Ideas - David Scott /CHA-AM Advisors   •   London   06 - 06 Feb 26       Commodities Research with a Focus on Oil and Energy - Kathleen Kelley /Queen Anne's Gate Capital   •   London   10 - 10 Feb 26       Predictive Investment Models for Idea Generation and Risk Management - Hugh Vuillier /Variant Perception   •   New York   16 - 19 Feb 26      

Why Oil Goes to $25 Per Barrel

CHA-AM Advisors

Wed 12 Apr 2023 - 15:00 BST / 10:00 EDT

Summary

David Scott outlined the following reasons for Oil heading significantly lower. They are the Monetary squeeze, the likelyhood of OPEC breaking up, and new supplies from unexpected soruces such as Brazil. These factors combined with a fall in lithium prices enable the take up of lower priced EVs adding to the downward pressure on oil. David's top recommendations is to be long Tesla and BYD, and short OPEC. He’s bullish bonds, both sovereign and corporate, and bearish the dollar. 

Topics

Inflation Is A Monetary Phenomenon

Cartels Don’t Work Without A Monetary Accomplice

OPEC’s End

All Prices Are Linked

Over-earning Leads To Under-earning

Operating Leverage Is The Most Powerful Force In Economics

No Straight Lines In Markets