EVENTS:   Acceleration in the Energy Transition - David Scott/CHA-AM Advisors - 12 May 26     ROADSHOWS: Consumer Research & Industry Trends focused on US Retail, E-Tail, and Consumer Products Companies - Scott Mushkin /R5 Capital   •   London   07 - 08 May 26       US Equity Short Research & Strategy - Zach Shannon /Corto Capital Advisors   •   New York   18 - 19 May 26       Investing in Constraint: Governance, Scarcity, and the Next Phase of the Energy Transition - François Boutin-Dufresne & Félix-A. Boudreault & Lenka Martinek /Sustainable Market Strategies   •   London   18 - 19 May 26      
Filters

The Cut

Fortnightly publication highlighting latest insights from IRF providers

Company Research

Consumer Staples

Report by Hedgeye

It is déjà vu all over again - questioning the secular growth of French fries is back. Following LW's recent earnings miss, the stock is trading at its lowest valuation since being spun off from Conagra. However, Hedgeye’s analysis points to an asymmetric risk/reward from current levels. Out year EPS power is between $7-8, meaning the stock can double from here over the next 1-2 years. They believe the current price underestimates the industry’s pricing discipline, underestimates the returns from capacity expansions and overestimates the pricing impact from capacity growth.