EVENTS:   Acceleration in the Energy Transition - David Scott/CHA-AM Advisors - 12 May 26     ROADSHOWS: Consumer Research & Industry Trends focused on US Retail, E-Tail, and Consumer Products Companies - Scott Mushkin /R5 Capital   •   London   07 - 08 May 26       US Equity Short Research & Strategy - Zach Shannon /Corto Capital Advisors   •   New York   18 - 19 May 26       Investing in Constraint: Governance, Scarcity, and the Next Phase of the Energy Transition - François Boutin-Dufresne & Félix-A. Boudreault & Lenka Martinek /Sustainable Market Strategies   •   London   18 - 19 May 26      
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Fortnightly publication highlighting latest insights from IRF providers

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Broadcom's uplift in pricing shocks VMware users

Technology

Report by Sales Pulse Research

SPR provides recent field feedback on AVGO’s actions, users reactions and vendors who are benefitting. While many acquisitions do not produce the increases in revenue and cost synergies that were promised, based upon AVGO’s aggressive approach, SPR expects it will immediately deliver strong results for both metrics. Despite the disruption and animosity it is creating, SPR is picking up many examples of end users who are paying much more to AVGO then they were prior to this acquisition (price hikes of 100-1000% have been reported). These end users are locked into some or all the VMware products. The cost of switching is very high and, in some cases, will take years. Other vendors discussed include Nutanix, IBM Red Hat and HashiCorp.

2024 Enterprise Tech Demand: Technology Spending Intentions Survey

Report by ETR

ETR highlights the vendors best and worst positioned for the year ahead based on spending intentions data collected from their Jan 24 TSIS, which saw participation from 1766 IT Decision-Makers, including 308 Fortune 500 and 423 Global 2000 organisations. Respondents are, on average, more optimistic on 2024 spending than 3 months ago, with full year spend anticipated to grow +4.3% vs. 2023. However, Q1 is slightly tempered, now sitting at +2.4% y/y growth. Vendor outlook upgrades include Gitlab (has seen a sharp rebound in its Net Score), SentinelOne, Elastic and IBM. While there are downgrades for Datadog (Net Score hits an all-time low), CyberArk and HashiCorp.

Best short ideas in Software

Technology

Report by Summit Insights Group

Former software engineer, Srini Nandury, who was the original bear on Nutanix and JFrog, highlights three names that continue to offer material downside…

Gitlab (GTLB) - Reminds Srini of JFrog; market fragmentation and intense competition will limit growth.
HashiCorp (HCP) - Growth to slow more quickly than investors realise; VMware catching on faster as it did with Nutanix. Stock could easily fall to $22.
UiPath (PATH) - Turned bearish with the stock at $70 last June. Expensive solution in a commoditising market; Microsoft is quickly vaulting to the leadership position in RPA.