Utilities

Report by ResearchGreece

My Big Fat Greek Deal - ResearchGreece downgrades their rating to DO NOT OWN IT (DOI) on the back of the €2bn/2GW solar agreement with Mytilineos. Why? Because the implied cost does not make sense; it is much higher than PPC’s own installations or projects under development; it is higher than any of the recent solar projects they have seen; PPC does not need it and it does not maximise shareholder value. While ResearchGreece’s valuation yields a fair value >€15 per share (+40% upside), their conviction is lower than before the deal. Investors that do not mind uneconomic corporate decisions may find such an upside attractive.

Utilities

Report by ResearchGreece

Announces the acquisition of Enel's assets in Romania for a total EV of €1.9bn - ResearchGreece likes the transaction because a) it was completed at a 50% discount to recent RES deals in Greece, namely Motor Oil’s €2.0m/MW or 12x EBITDA acquisition of Ellaktor wind assets; and b) it is evidence PPC is delivering on its business plan targets as laid out in 2021. ResearchGreece expects the same to follow with Greek RES targets (+5GW by 2026). TP €12.8 (60% upside).