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Industrials
The stock was pitched as a long idea at MYST’s latest Industrials Idea Forum, with prior events generating +11.4%, +10.4% and +9.5% average alpha. The presenter argued ENR’s recent underperformance vs. GE Vernova reflects macro-related fears among European investors, not fundamentals, leaving a valuation gap set to close. Multiple catalysts were highlighted, including “super cycles” in Gas Services and Grid Technologies and a profitability inflection in Siemens Gamesa expected in 3Q26. Street estimates are too low, with additional upside from potential changes to the Siemens AG trademark licensing fee and an end to the war in Ukraine. With strong backlog visibility and a clean balance sheet, the presenter has a TP of €225, offering 35% upside.
Industrials
Judy Marks is a poor fit for the CEO role. Her tenure has been marked by share-price underperformance, repeated guidance cuts, underinvestment in innovation and purging experienced internal talent to make way for inferior DEI placements. Facing a weak China market, Marks has relied on repeated restructurings that have further hurt morale and credibility. Paragon’s research draws on interviews with former senior executives from OTIS, Siemens and Dresser-Rand, revealing a sharp contrast between her stronger reputation at Siemens and overwhelmingly negative feedback from OTIS insiders. Sources cite a fear-based culture, weak grasp of the core service model and poor capital allocation. Paragon argues Marks’ leadership style is misaligned with the company's need for stability, operational discipline and reinvestment.
Industrials
A “backdoor” AI infrastructure play amid growing power bottlenecks from new data centre construction. As data centres cannot rely on intermittent renewables, natural gas turbines are seen as the only viable near-term solution. The market is extremely tight, with projected demand of 80-100GW vs. supply of only ~70GW and consensus likely underestimating both pricing and volume potential. ENR’s Gas business is positioned to deliver 20%+ long-term margins, while its Grid Technologies division should benefit from global electrification and grid modernisation, with revenue expected to exceed €20bn by 2030. Shares could double over the next 3 years, driven by earnings beats and a profit inflection in the Wind segment. The upcoming November Analyst Day is viewed as a major catalyst.
Technology
Siemens is acquiring Dotmatics, a US-based SaaS provider for laboratory management, for $5.1bn. The acquisition appears expensive (16.5x EV/sales and 39x EV/EBITDA for FY25) but strengthens the group’s position in the life sciences sector by expanding its digital twin technology and industrial software offerings. Dotmatics adds a new $5.5bn market opportunity, which could grow to $11bn, covering areas like pharma manufacturing, biofuels and chemicals. SIE’s growing presence in this sector will intensify competition where DSY currently leads the market. While GR20 does not expect DSY to respond by going on a buying spree, there could be interesting opportunities for M&A to enhance the 3DExperience platform (on the Biovia side) or Medidata, particularly to align with its recently launched 3D Universes AI-driven environment.
China Automation: Destocking nearing end, but 2024 expected to be flat Y/Y
Industrials
Report by
Silk Road Research
SRR’s latest channel checks reveal short cycle orders have bottomed and destocking headwinds have significantly eased Q/Q. The auto industry was cited as an area of strength, while the export market and the electronics sector were highlighted as areas of weakness. The biggest medium-term headwind cited for foreign brands was rising domestic competition. Local automation companies have rapidly moved up the technology curve, while pricing for domestic brands in robotics were estimated to be 10-20% lower than foreign brands, while DCS products were 30-50% lower. Brands mentioned by private systems integrators that have been vulnerable to share loss to domestic brands include Yaskawa, Emerson and Siemens.
Industrials
Report by
Starling Advisors
Massive overreaction as the share price plunges nearly 40% following a profit warning in the Siemens Gamesa division - the drop erased €7bn in ENR’s market value vs. restructuring costs estimated at ~€1bn. While Alex Dwek thinks it probably means break-even for SGRE is delayed by a year or so, the trend towards cleaner energy is accelerating and ENR is entering a new phase of growth with a good-quality record-high backlog in Gas Services, Grid Technology, and Transformation of Industry, which should convert into high revenue growth, margin expansion and profitability. On Aug 7th management will provide Q3 results and give more visibility on costs, which should act as a catalyst to restore credibility. TP €24.00 (60% upside).
FTSEurofirst 80 Index: Bullish & Bearish Themes
Technical Analysis
Recycling and Renewable Energy stocks such as Umicore, Vestas Wind and Siemens Gamesa are rallying from medium term support. Selective Seafood and Tobacco stocks remain defensive including SalMar, Mowi and Scandinavian Tobacco. Banks are generally rallying in ranges; favours CaixaBank and Sabadell which have already broken out and extend relative bases.
Industrials have broken uptrends and are now losing relative momentum such as Schneider, Atlas Copco and Alfa Laval. Luxury Goods renew their 4-month price and relative tops including Pandora, LVMH, Dior and Hermes. IT Hardware and Semiconductors renew their 5-month price and relative tops; SeSa, BE Semiconductor, Infineon and Nordic Semiconductor are highlighted.
Asia’s Covid Woes & Global Supply Chain Implications
Autos / Industrials
Report by
Silk Road Research
More Asian countries are currently under some form of lockdown than at any point in the past year. This includes Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam - all key source countries for global supply chains. SRR’s contacts in the Automotive and Automation industries now expect supply chain bottlenecks to persist for the remainder of the year with Logistics contacts expecting air and ocean freight to remain tight through to June 2022! SRR’s top picks for China exposure in H2 include Otis, ABB, Schneider Electric, Siemens, Yaskawa, Fanuc, Aptiv, Nio and Volkswagen.
