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Investor Idea Event highlights several compelling Shorts
Revelare hosted a Buyside Event in London where short theses were shared for companies including: 1) Associated British Foods - Primark is caught in a competitive “no man’s land” and is being squeezed by Shein, Vinted and LEFTIES. 2) CSG - trades at peak earnings, driven by unsustainable, high-margin spot-market ammunition sales to Ukraine and its true revenue visibility is much lower than its headline backlog suggests. 3) IWG - the presenter questioned the company’s highly touted transition to a capital-light management / franchise model; sees the business as plagued by poor disclosure and aggressive accounting. 4) Vestas Wind Systems - utilities moving services in-house puts margins at risk and Chinese competition challenges a peak multiple.
Consumer Staples
Report by
Cerundolo Investment Research
Guy Cerundolo flags ABF’s deteriorating model score and yesterday's (5th Sep) break of a 2-year uptrend is negative for the stock.
Healthcare
ROCGA’s Cash Flow Returns On Investments based DCF valuation platform shows BAYN to be undervalued for the first time in 10 years. BAYN is not a quality company and would not warrant attention, but the valuation gap is compelling with potentially 50% upside. With a few clicks, you can model and value one of 2000 companies across Europe and the US. Other companies that appear on their list of undervalued companies are Ahold, Associated British Foods and Saint-Gobain. A free consultation and trial can be arranged on request.
Consumer Staples
ABF looks undervalued using ROCGA’s Cash Flow Returns on Investments based DCF tools - they have modelled this company, back-tested the model driven valuations, and then used the same assumptions along consensus EPS to estimate a target price. Being prudent and given the uncertainty, they also add 2% to WACC. The adjusted target price offers significant upside. It takes about a minute to model and value a company using ROCGA’s systematic and interactive valuation tools. More details can be found here. They currently cover over 1,800 companies (500 UK, 400 European and 900 NA). A free trial is available on request.
