EVENTS:   A Generational Opportunity to Invest in the Nuclear Renaissance - - 22 Jun 26   Where is the National Bureau of Economic Analysis? - Danielle DiMartino Booth/QI Research - 25 Jun 26     ROADSHOWS: Where is the National Bureau of Economic Analysis? - Danielle DiMartino Booth /QI Research   •   London   21 - 26 Jun 26       Internet and Media Coverage and Ideas - Barton Crockett /Rosenblatt Securities   •   London   22 - 23 Jun 26      
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Fortnightly publication highlighting latest insights from IRF providers

Company Research

Declining Businesses: Best short candidates

Report by Two Rivers Analytics

Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure (AY) - Faces competition from new renewable energy companies and weaker than expected demand for electricity. Sales growth averages just above zero since 2017. EBITDA and FCF have declined since 2021. Trades at 34x 2024 earnings.
Olin (OLN) - Weakened demand in its core chlor-alkali business, increasing competition and higher raw materials prices. Sales declined for four quarters (incl. -35% drop last Qtr). While current year growth forecasts have been cut, out-year growth forecasts have been increased.
Seagate (STX) - The demand for hard drives has been declining as storage shifts onto the cloud. Sales have declined dramatically for five quarters. Margins have plummeted and leverage has shot up (when measured against collapsing EBITDA).

Edition 166 - 04 Aug 23