Expectations analysis for European Apparel & Branded Goods
Report by Willis Welby
Luxury Goods have had a reputation for being one of Europe’s growth areas for a long time and last month they performed well ahead of wider indices. Although the median implied to Y3 EBITM ratio of Willis Welby’s large cap universe is now 96, that still feels tenable given the generally high levels of financial productivity and the almost universal high levels of current and projected revenue growth. In this note, they focus on Cucinelli. While the company is currently on a roll, Willis Welby finds expectations ratios far too high and financial productivity too low. The likes of Kering, Inditex, Richemont and Moncler look far more appealing.