EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

Fortnightly Publication Highlighting Latest Insights From IRF Providers

Company Research

Air Canada (AC CN) Canada

Industrials

Veritas Investment Research

With its profitability restored, deleveraging substantially complete, no significant growth plans on the horizon and a low likelihood of large-scale M&A activity, AC's choices for capital allocation are increasingly leaning towards shareholder returns. Given its strong performance as of late, Veritas has been fielding questions about the dividend potential for the company. In this note, they attempt to size the airliner's capacity to fund shareholder returns across a range of scenarios. Over the near term, a robust demand environment should enable the company to generate excess cash to support shareholder distributions. However, on a three-year outlook, $4bn worth of scheduled debt maturities and $8bn of new aircraft deliveries will pose headwinds to building cash in the years ahead.

Edition: 184

- 19 April, 2024