EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

Fortnightly Publication Highlighting Latest Insights From IRF Providers

Company Research

Allstate (ALL)

Financials

Cmind

At the end of March, Cmind predicted the 1Q23 earnings for 573 firms within the financial service sector. Their model predicts an 84% probability that ALL will miss street forecasts. Besides the sector-level volatility, they find that its financial metrics such as Cash/Operating Profit, Current Assets/Capitalised Expenses, and Receivables - Estimated Doubtful are excessively high when compared against its peers. Additionally, the sentiment extracted from the analysts participating in previous earnings calls has been consistently negative over the last several quarters. ALL is scheduled to release its earnings on 3rd May.

Edition: 159

- 28 April, 2023


Market Cap of Companies Over 10x Sales is Out of Control

Kailash Capital Research

The market’s greed for speculative tech stocks is creating fantastic opportunities for long-term investors - Kailash Concepts believe now is the time to be focusing on the cheapest stocks in the market - these companies generate FCF of 5%; trade at 1x sales; P/E ratio of 22x; ~10% operating margins and 3% dividend yield. In fact, they have far more sustainable business models and having grown revenues by 24% over the last three years offer growth at a reasonable price! Some of the top ranked S&P500 firms highlighted include Molina Healthcare, Albertsons, Allstate and Ford.

Edition: 119

- 17 September, 2021