EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

Fortnightly Publication Highlighting Latest Insights From IRF Providers

Company Research

Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM)

Consumer Staples

Paragon Intel

CFO-Elect Monish Patolawala's ManagementTrack Rating* of 0.8 is in the bottom 4% of the 1,250 CFOs on the platform and is a significant downgrade to the 5.3 MTR of ADM's existing C-Suite. Patolawala destroyed (113%) alpha as a CFO at 3M; he has 9 "Level 2 & 3" career F.L.A.G. Risks (Financial, Legal, Audit, Governance Flags); a mixed incentive hit rate (achieved 50% of his incentive compensation targets 2020-2023); and is classed as an Inconsistent Sandbagger Guidance Forecaster (beats 51% and misses 28% of his financial guidance to investors).

*The MTR model employs a statistical ML algorithm to predict executive / company outperformance relative to their sector. It utilises 200+ signals and over a 10-year back-test a MTR long-short portfolio generated an average annual alpha of 8% with a 90% hit rate.

Edition: 190

- 12 July, 2024