EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

Fortnightly Publication Highlighting Latest Insights From IRF Providers

Company Research

Atalaya Mining (ATYM LN) UK

Materials

Ben Jones Investments

Ben Jones provides his thoughts following solid 1H24 results and believes San Dionisio will be transformative for ATYM, boosting production from 48kt Cu in 2024 to over 100kt CuEq by 2030. The increase in production comes from higher grades alone, Ben expects no change in the mining and processing rates, which allows for strong economics. San Dionisio’s proximity to the existing Cerro Colorado pit and its use of the existing processing facilities also provide extremely strong economics. Masa Valverde and Proyecto Touro are two excellent development assets Ben sees priced as free options. He thinks they are being ignored by the market due to limited information.

Edition: 193

- 23 August, 2024


Copper: Risk to the downside

Global Mining Research

Copper prices had a strong start to the year. David Radclyffe’s review of the Q1/2024 performance versus 2024 guidance for the December year-end stocks helps put the market tightness into perspective. The key takeaway is that, as with gold companies, copper miners are banking on a strong H2/2024 to meet annual guidance figures. The risk is therefore to the downside, with once again copper producers struggling to either meet guidance or increase production appreciably. Only Hudbay Minerals, KGHM, Southern Copper, Freeport-McMoRan and First Quantum Minerals are tracking to 2024 production expectations. David’s preferred copper miners are in the small/mid-cap space on valuation grounds, including Atalaya Mining, Capstone Copper, Sandfire and Hudbay Minerals.

Edition: 187

- 31 May, 2024


Copper vs Gold

Global Mining Research

Gold miners have traditionally been considered premium rated miners, yet copper stocks covered by GMR have moved to a premium compared to gold and other base metal and bulk miners. Gold stocks are out of favour with valuations underperforming the gold metal price during 2023; the high beta of gold stocks presents an opportunity when the gold price gains traction. Preferred equities include Lundin Gold and Northern Star. Copper stocks remain attractive as supply weakness and low inventories are offset by macro concerns. Preferred stocks are Atalaya Mining and Taseko Mines as junior miners, and Sandfire amongst the mid-larger names.

Edition: 170

- 29 September, 2023