EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

Fortnightly Publication Highlighting Latest Insights From IRF Providers

Company Research

Avis Budget (CAR)

Industrials

Vision Research

Vision initiated a short on CAR to clients on 10th Jan 2023 focused on peaking rental rates and used car values as fleets returned to pre-pandemic levels and promotions increased. Vision expected depreciation to rise, gain on sale of used vehicles to abate and rising debt per vehicle to raise interest expense. The short was closed on 16th Feb 2024, generating alpha of 61.2% as the shares declined (31.2%) while the S&P 500 rose 30.0%. At the time of the initiation, ADV was >$150m and there was no cost to borrow the shares.

Vision uses fundamental analysis to identify structurally challenged companies. They currently have 16 active US shorts, 13 active European shorts and 8 active APAC shorts.

Edition: 180

- 23 February, 2024