EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

Fortnightly Publication Highlighting Latest Insights From IRF Providers

Company Research

BIAT (BIAT TU) Thailand

Financials

AlphaMena

Tunisia’s largest lender posted a modest 6.8% growth in its H1 net profit amid a rising loan loss provisions to comply with the expected change in the regulatory framework (transition toward IFRS requirement from 2023). The solid revenue momentum was helpful to manage the increase in its NPLs rate to 7.2% vs. 6.4% as of 31st Dec 2022. However, the BCT's key interest rate outlook is less favourable with the recent signs of cooling inflation. AlphaMena expects an ongoing impairment in asset quality given the still challenging economic environment. Thus, their earnings targets are expected to decline from 2024 leading to a negative stance on the stock, which is already expensive from a P/B standpoint: 1.44x in 2023 vs. 0.81x average for the Tunisian banks.

Edition: 170

- 29 September, 2023