EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

Fortnightly Publication Highlighting Latest Insights From IRF Providers

Company Research

Brinker International (EAT)

Consumer Discretionary

Gordon Haskett Research Advisors

Jeff Farmer sees additional beat and raise quarters coming with Chili's SSS and EPS momentum showing little if any signs of slowing. Q2 EPS of $2.80, materially outpaced the $1.80 Street estimate driven by stronger-than-expected Chili's SSS (+31.4%) and a better-than-expected RL margin (19.1%). Menu innovation & value in concert with highly effective traditional and social media messaging have combined to bring customers into Chili's, while investments in food quality, facility improvements and staffing, have kept customers coming back. Jeff’s FY25E EPS increases to $8.43, with EBITDA increasing to $710m and company SSS increasing to +20.1%.

Edition: 204

- 07 February, 2025


Rapidly detecting meaningful language changes in 10Qs / 10Ks

280First

HII: Takeover interest? The following wording has been removed from its 2022 10K vs. last year, "These provisions may discourage acquisition proposals or delay or prevent a change in control, which could reduce our stock price". General Motors: China rethink? “Pursuing opportunities in the Chinese market is an important component of our global growth strategy”, has now been removed from its 10K. ServiceNow: Brighter growth rate outlook; dividends set to resume; strategic transactions? US Steel: Covenant concerns; customer payment delays? Brinker International: Missing performance targets.

Edition: 154

- 17 February, 2023