EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

Fortnightly Publication Highlighting Latest Insights From IRF Providers

Company Research

Lamb Weston (LW)

Consumer Staples

Hedgeye

It is déjà vu all over again - questioning the secular growth of French fries is back. Following LW's recent earnings miss, the stock is trading at its lowest valuation since being spun off from Conagra. However, Hedgeye’s analysis points to an asymmetric risk/reward from current levels. Out year EPS power is between $7-8, meaning the stock can double from here over the next 1-2 years. They believe the current price underestimates the industry’s pricing discipline, underestimates the returns from capacity expansions and overestimates the pricing impact from capacity growth.

Edition: 184

- 19 April, 2024