EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

Fortnightly Publication Highlighting Latest Insights From IRF Providers

Company Research

Ubiquiti (UI)

Technology

Two Rivers Analytics

Sales have fallen for three quarters, from a growth rate of 51% last June to -23% in the quarter just ended. Margins have collapsed (gross margins down from 48% to 42% and EBITDA margins from 39% to 31%) and the company has added $1bn of debt since 2017. The share price is only down 13% YTD and is still 10% higher than a year ago. Eric Fernandez believes UI warrants a closer look as a potential short candidate with the stock trading at high multiples of both sales and earnings (46x Jun 22 and 35x 2023 earnings). Other companies flagged in Eric's ‘Breaking Estimates’ model are Nutanix, Upstart and Corsair Gaming.

Edition: 137

- 10 June, 2022