EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

Fortnightly Publication Highlighting Latest Insights From IRF Providers

Company Research

PostNL (PNL NA) Netherlands

Industrials

the IDEA!

Delivery slip - now seeing clear evidence of the insourcing and rerouting by bol.com and at a faster pace than the team at the IDEA! had originally anticipated when they published their bearish report last Oct. On top of that, DHL has stepped up competition. In Belgium, PNL has lost part of its volume to bpost and is facing higher costs for the use of its subcontractors. The pressure on margins is particularly worrying. Reduced pricing power means that tariff increases are insufficient to offset the impact of the 2022 cost inflation, let alone that of 2023.

Edition: 153

- 03 February, 2023