Special Sits Idea Forum
The majority of ideas presented at MYST's latest buyside event were industrial-related, with themes including potential takeouts, SOTP simplification stories and power-related names. Stocks highlighted include:
Aptiv (APTV) - “GoodCo vs. BadCo” split to unlock hidden value of Connection Systems business. TP $125 (45% upside).
Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) - unappreciated assets create “zero enterprise value” amid positive FCF inflection. TP $28 (180% upside).
DuPont de Nemours (DD) - re-rating tailwinds fuelled by fundamental and technical catalysts. TP $115 (45% upside).
Idaho Strategic Resources (IDR) - enormous upside from potential US government partnership / investment.
Peloton (PTON) - new product launches + subscription price increase to accelerate turnaround.
Ralliant (RAL) - ignored "broken spin” poised for positive revision cycle. TP $60 (35% upside).
Edition: 221
- 03 October, 2025
Materials
DD is benefiting from the recovery in its electronics segment and steady growth across its other businesses. The group has consistently exceeded quarterly guidance and in a market where earnings misses are common, DD’s reliability stands out. Meanwhile, the company is preparing to spin off its world class electronics division. IndustrialsCo is trading at ~9x EV/EBITDA with a case to be made for a materially higher multiple when the actual split occurs. With positive growth trends and a significant value-enhancing transaction ahead, DD remains a compelling investment.
Edition: 205
- 21 February, 2025
Bear’s Den Idea Forum
Interesting shift in sentiment at MYST's latest buy-side event as the vast majority of participants felt the market did in fact bottom in June (vs. only a handful 5 weeks ago). The most compelling short ideas presented included:
Pfizer (PFE) - Adverse impact of Inflation Reduction Act not fully appreciated by the Street. TP $33 (30% downside).
Olaplex (OLPX) - Extraordinarily high margins to contract as competition intensifies and growth slows. TP $8 (35% downside).
Rogers Corp (ROG) - Expensive acquisition by DuPont in doubt as China regulatory approval delays persist. TP $170 (35% downside).
Sprout Social (SPT) - Low quality Software Co. trades at absurd valuation despite declining net adds / higher churn. TP $43 (35% downside).
Edition: 144
- 16 September, 2022
Bear’s Den Idea Forum
Several ideas presented at MYST’s latest buy-side event focused on “misguided acquisitions”...
Carvana (CVNA) - Overpaying for “mediocre ADESA asset” increases balance sheet risk as competition intensifies (35% downside).
Celanese (CE) - “Massively overearning” in Acetic Acid segment; DuPont M&M deal increases leverage / cyclicality (30% downside).
Synaptics (SYNA) - Expensive roll-up of low-quality semiconductor assets at cyclical peak (45% downside).
Edition: 132
- 01 April, 2022