EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

Fortnightly Publication Highlighting Latest Insights From IRF Providers

Company Research

Dynatrace (DT)

Technology

Paragon Intel

New CEO Rick McConnell will profitably scale DT to a multi-billion dollar company - former colleagues describe McConnell as the perfect fit for the job because of his industry expertise and track record scaling businesses (Akamai and Cisco). Well versed in finance, product and go-to-market strategy, he will grow DT's business from $1bn to $5bn+. Unlike many of its high-valuation software peers, DT’s valuation reflects sustainable 30% revenue growth, 25% EBIT margins and strong >30% FCF margins. Forecasts EPS to increase 44%-65% from FY22-FY24, materially ahead of current estimates.

Edition: 133

- 14 April, 2022


Technology Trends: Change, disruption and opportunity in 2022

Sales Pulse Research

1) The acceleration from legacy security solutions to the newer generation of solutions - SASE / shake-up of enterprise networking and network security (Zscaler, Cloudflare, Palo Alto Networks).
2) Leverage of AI in cloud-based communications and collaboration (CCaaS) to the advantage of vendors who are separating themselves from commodity services and pricing (Five9, NICE). Changing competitive landscape as Zoom, Microsoft, and others collide in the large and growing UCaaS market.
3) Further strength in BI / Analytics / Observability to the benefit of vendors with the strongest cloud-based solutions (Datadog, Dynatrace), but more mixed results from vendors transitioning to SaaS (Teradata, Elastic).

Edition: 128

- 04 February, 2022


Splunk (SPLK)

Technology

Summit Insights Group

Cloud-first strategy continues to resonate with customers but is yet to resonate with investors - SPLK is currently trading at less than half the multiple (4.9x) vs. peers, despite growing faster than its competitors. The increasing mix of cloud revenue is understating the company's overall growth rate. Srini Nandury expects enterprises to standardise on SPLK, given it has one of the best observability platforms in the industry combined with the best log management platform. The notion of competition with Datadog, Elastic and Dynatrace is overblown. TP $200 (70% upside).

Edition: 125

- 10 December, 2021