EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

Fortnightly Publication Highlighting Latest Insights From IRF Providers

Company Research

BBVA (BBVA SM) Spain

Financials

Galliano's Financials Research

Digital strategy is being successfully rolled out to all its geographies - current valuation does not reflect BBVA's competitive attributes and strengths. Forecast dividend yield is over 7%. BBVA's premium returns engine is Mexico, where it is well positioned to counter the threat from FinTechs, as well as exploit the Citibanamex sale process to selectively poach disillusioned clients. This is supported by improving returns in Spain where BBVA remains a digital transformation leader. In addition, Turkey offers exciting growth potential and with the latest offer BBVA should be buying out the Garanti minorities at an attractive price.

Edition: 135

- 13 May, 2022


BBVA (BBVA SM) Spain

Financials

Galliano's Financials Research

Garanti acquisition a shrewd move despite negative market reaction - BBVA’s offer to buy out the Garanti minorities values the Turkish bank at a PTBV ratio of 0.7x and prospective PE of 3.6x and is expected to be earnings accretive. The Spanish lender has plenty of experience in delivering premium returns from its operations in challenging neighbourhoods and by taking greater control will be able to further implement the group’s digital strategy and consolidate its risk management. BBVA shares are also supported by the prospect of share buybacks equivalent to ~10% of its market value.

Edition: 124

- 26 November, 2021