European & US short ideas

Vision Research

Since Vision pitched their short thesis on Vidrala, Verallia and O-I Glass at our Equity Shorting Conference in mid-Mar the stocks have underperformed the Stoxx600 by ~8%. In the last couple of months they have also initiated 3 new European shorts, 3 new US shorts, and has readied a new $7bn+ European short (trades ~$20m/day and has short interest of <1%) for initiation next week. Please join Vision for a meeting while members of their team are in Paris (Jun 5th-6th), Zurich (Jun 7th) and London (Jun 8th-12th).

In the last 24 months, Vision has closed several shorts including: Allegro, AutoStore, Boohoo, Burlington, Colruyt, De'Longhi, Electrolux, Gerresheimer, H&M, Hargreaves Lansdown, Inditex, New Relic, Nokian Tyres, Peloton, Similarweb, Thule, Trex, TSMC, UiPath and Whirlpool.

- 26 May, 2023

Gerresheimer (GXI GR) Germany

Materials

Forensic Alpha

Walking on broken glass - while GXI has concentrated on convincing the market that the currently high level of capital expenditure will lead to sustained growth Forensic Alpha’s analysis suggests something more untoward might be developing. An unsustainably high payables balance suggests management are delaying payments to suppliers to inflate cashflow and decrease net debt. Together with factored receivables and the pension deficit, leverage is much larger than the figures management have been highlighting.

- 24 June, 2022