Canadian Banks
Financials
Rising risks trump rising rates - Nigel D’Souza expects market sentiment to shift over the coming months as slowing economic growth and elevated credit risk outweighs the benefit of higher NII. Ahead of this inflection point, Nigel is lowering his sector forward P/E multiple for Canadian banks to 10.6x (NB assuming a pre-pandemic PCL ratio, it currently stands at 13.5x, the highest multiple since the GFC). He downgrades Scotiabank, CIBC, National Bank, RBC and TD Bank to Sell. If you are taking money off the table in banks, consider moving it to the insurers. Nigel continues to pound the table on Manulife Financial and recently upgraded Sun Life and Great-West Lifeco to Buy.
Edition: 129
- 18 February, 2022