EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

Fortnightly Publication Highlighting Latest Insights From IRF Providers

Company Research

DTC Index: Relative valuations at multi-decade lows

Consumer Staples

Douglas Lane’s DTC Index trades at a 45% discount to the S&P 500, which is the lowest prospective relative P/E ratio for the Index since the tech bubble 20+ years ago - Douglas argues value-oriented investors may want to start to move into some of the names in this group given their financial strength, above average gross margins, strong FCF generation and pricing power in what tends to be more defensive product categories. Buy-rated stocks include Herbalife, Nu Skin and Medifast.

Edition: 134

- 29 April, 2022


Detecting Meaningful Language Changes in Security Filings…

280First

Analyses of text changes in 10Qs/10Ks offer unique insights into management intentions and company internal projects. Recent noteworthy changes include:

Arista Networks (ANET): Order cancellation concerns and customer price sensitivities.
Endo International (ENDP): Actively planning / preparing for a Chapter 11 Bankruptcy filing?
GoDaddy (GDDY): Uncertainty on customer demand and growth; plus FTC / CID issues re. regarding data privacy / security practices.
Herbalife (HLF): Unwilling or unable to increase prices due to supply chain issues / higher costs.

Edition: 123

- 12 November, 2021