EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

Fortnightly Publication Highlighting Latest Insights From IRF Providers

Company Research

Titan Cement International (TITC GA) Greece

Materials

ResearchGreece

Intends to IPO its US business by early 2025 - using an EV/EBITDA of 9x for the US business and applying 5x EBITDA on non-US operations, yields a targeted total EV at €3.7bn and a targeted equity value of €3.1bn or €40 per share (30% upside). ResearchGreece’s implied targeted 2024 EV/EBITDA of 6.5x and P/E of 10.8x are both below Holcim’s current 8.2x EBITDA and 13.8x EPS, which derives 39% of sales and 31% of EBITDA from the US (vs. Titan’s 58% of sales and 55% of EBITDA) and which also plans to list its North American business in the US (the shares are up c.25% since the announcement in Jan).

Edition: 186

- 17 May, 2024