EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

Fortnightly Publication Highlighting Latest Insights From IRF Providers

Company Research

Asia Ex-Japan Funds: Extreme stocks

Copley Fund Research

In this report, Steven Holden screens for stocks at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges. He synthesizes current and historical data on fund positioning with recent manager activity to accurately assess sentiment for each stock. Stocks in focus this month: High Positioning, Positive Momentum: KE Holdings and Shriram Finance. High Positioning, Negative Momentum: Axis Bank and NARI Technology. Low Positioning, Negative Momentum: Baidu and BOC Hong Kong. Low Positioning, Positive Momentum: Hon Hai Precision Industry and Tenaga Nasional.

Edition: 198

- 01 November, 2024


China Real Estate: Continued fund rotation drives new lows

Copley Fund Research

Steven Copley takes a look at positions in China’s real estate sector, and it does not look good. Real estate holdings in active China equity funds have plummeted to a new low of 2.51% (from 8%), with only 76.4% of funds maintaining any position. The number of real estate companies held has plummeted from just under 100 in 2019 to just 42. It represents the largest percentage of funds invested in any sector, with significant closures driven by key investors such as Janus Henderson and Quilter. Amid the downturn, KE Holdings stands out, having attracted a growing ownership base and reaching an all-time high in investment. Nevertheless, investors are reallocating to sectors like Technology, Energy and Materials.

Edition: 187

- 31 May, 2024


KE Holdings Inc (BEKE US) US

Real Estate

RedTech Advisors

China’s top leadership is stoking hopes for better property policies, and BEKE is an asset-light bet on the eventual rebound. In a recent meeting, Premier Li Keqiang signaled a further relaxation of housing policies on a city-by-city basis. In the days before the meeting, rumors swirled about the government ending all property restrictions outside of Tier 1 cities, which would be as much a sign of desperation as a real boost for housing in lower tiers. This would also benefit an online real estate broker like Beike, which does about half of its business in Tier 2 and smaller cities.

Edition: 145

- 30 September, 2022