EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

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Accounting red flags include stripped out broadly defined restructuring expense (44% of PBT adj over the past six years), share-based payments and acquired software amortisation. FY22’s +11% organic sales growth is difficult to reconcile against annual report acquisition revenue contributions disclosure (implies negative organic growth), cross-checked by subsidiary accounts analysis. Headline net debt excludes £29m contingent consideration while floating debt implies c.£2m extra net finance charge with the rise in SONIA since year end. Iron Blue also notes sub-optimal governance with non-independents controlling the board.

Edition: 147

- 28 October, 2022