EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

Fortnightly Publication Highlighting Latest Insights From IRF Providers

Company Research

OTE Group (HTO GA) Greece

Communications

ResearchGreece

ResearchGreece is concerned with Nova-Wind's more-aggressive-than-expected commercial policy announced on Jan 11th and the potential ARPU / EBITDA impact on OTE. The dividend & share buyback for 2023 is not necessarily at risk thanks to OTE's dividend-intended cash buffers. But 2023-2024 EBITDA could be, as they doubt OTE will let subscribers go. In the end, Nova’s zero margin / cash burning strategy could backfire, but the market damage will be done. Heightened competition could turn out to be strike No.3 for OTE, after higher interest rates and lower-than-expected remuneration in 2022.

Edition: 152

- 20 January, 2023