EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

Fortnightly Publication Highlighting Latest Insights From IRF Providers

Company Research

Where Street earnings are too high & who should miss

New Constructs

Wall Street analysts are too bullish on Q3 expectations for most S&P 500 companies. Although down from record highs set in early 2021, the percentage of companies whose Street EPS exceeds New Constructs’ Core EPS remains high at 71%. Furthermore, 208 companies (>40%) overstate Core Earnings by >10% (Street Earnings are overstated by 24% on average in TTM through 2Q23). New Constructs highlights Bio-Techne as one of the companies most likely to miss Wall Street analysts’ expectations in Q3. Others include Principal Financial Group, T-Mobile, Tesla and Xcel Energy.

Edition: 171

- 13 October, 2023