EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

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Company Research

Pulp prices to remain strong in coming months

ERA Research

Pulp exports from Russia’s large forest resource mainly head towards China, therefore Western sanctions will see little direct impact on pulp prices. Nevertheless, ERA Research expects pulp prices to remain stronger for longer in the face of logistical issues that will present themselves, with early-year strength continuing for longer before excess inventories are finally delivered. Recommended trades include LONG Mercer, with another quarter of low maintenance and good shipments expected (TP $16). Despite the strong pulp outlook, investors should EXIT Rayonier Advanced Materials with a heavy maintenance year ahead a key risk.

Edition: 130

- 04 March, 2022