EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

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Company Research

SBM Offshore (SBMO NA) Netherlands

Energy

the IDEA!

SBMO delivered another impressive performance in H1 and raised FY25 guidance. The Fast4Ward model is proving highly effective: in the past 7 months, 3 FPSOs with a combined 650kbpd capacity have achieved first oil, with unprecedented time-to-market that sets SBMO apart. While net debt of $5.6bn is still a concern for some investors and came in above consensus, it largely reflects new FPSO construction financing and the IDEA! expects deleveraging to progress as planned. This underpins its $1.7bn dividend / buyback commitment through 2030, with further upside from new orders and two unallocated hulls. Given SBMO’s continued strong performance, the IDEA! reiterates their positive stance.

Edition: 218

- 22 August, 2025


SBM Offshore (SBMO NA) Netherlands

Energy

the IDEA!

Despite a positive outlook for new orders SBMO shares still trade at a relatively high discount to NPV - highlights opportunities to win additional contracts with the likes of Exxon where FPSOs SBMO has been building are very efficient (breakeven price for the ONE Guyana FPSO is pegged at $29/BBL Brent). Analysts at the IDEA have previously demonstrated that each new FPSO contract could add up to €1 to €2 per share in the NPV of the company’s L&O portfolio. This value already amounts to between €19 and €23 per share based on discount rates of 8% and 6% respectively. SBMO shares currently trade at €13.70.

Edition: 135

- 13 May, 2022