EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

Fortnightly Publication Highlighting Latest Insights From IRF Providers

Company Research

E&P ranking model appears to be working

Energy

Churchill Research

Mike Churchill only developed this model in early Jan but is pleased with the results so far. The E&Ps that scored better than average back in Jan have performed 11 points better than those rated below average (+28% vs. +17%) over the last 12 weeks. Interestingly, all the stocks with a 40%+ gain were in the better-than-average group (Riley, Vaalco, Valeura, SM Energy and Ring Energy). During this process, Mike also noted that certain meta-themes became apparent including how Permian plays seem to really generate wealth (they don’t just recycle capital endlessly without benefitting investors) and Canadian domestic E&Ps often have a problem with creating wealth over time.

Edition: 183

- 05 April, 2024