EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

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Company Research

Stella-Jones (SJ CN) Canada

Materials

Veritas Investment Research

A materials company that behaves more like a low-volatility industrial - SJ needs limited investment to generate impressive FCF, which it can use to supplement organic growth with acquisitions, share buybacks and dividends. An earnings CAGR of 22% for the last three years improved ROE from 15% in 2021 to 20% in 2023. Veritas expects HDD EPS growth that is underpinned by risk-mitigating attributes, including contracts that lower volatility and commodity risk by passing through more volatile costs. With a lower three-year beta than comparable companies, the ~14x P/E and ~10.5x EV/EBITDA implied at SJ’s current stock price are appealing. 1-year TP C$120 (35% upside).

Edition: 190

- 12 July, 2024