EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

Fortnightly Publication Highlighting Latest Insights From IRF Providers

Company Research

Swedish Match (SWMA SS) Sweden

Consumer Staples

TobaccoIntelligence

Philip Morris International will accept all SWMA shares that have been tendered to it despite failing to achieve its 90% minimum stake threshold. PMI must still secure further shares in a voluntary transaction during a new offer period to achieve its goal of utilising compulsory purchases to acquire all remaining stakes in the Swedish company. After PMI raised its public offer in October, the total bid now amounts to SEK176bn ($15.8bn).

Edition: 148

- 11 November, 2022


Big Tobacco’s RRPs showed positive performance in 2021 with promising signs for the future

Consumer Staples

TobaccoIntelligence

Philip-Morris Int. reported a positive performance of Iqos Iluma in Japan and Switzerland, with significant growth in its heated tobacco portfolio, especially in the Middle East, Africa, South and Southeast Asia. Likewise, Japan Tobacco will prioritise its heated tobacco portfolio by 2027, while British American Tobacco’s revenue from its new products category rose by 42.4%, boosted by higher modern oral products sales. Swedish Match’s sales increased by 11%, driven by the smoke-free product segment, with solid growth in the US and Scandinavia for nicotine pouches and plans to invest further throughout 2022.

Edition: 130

- 04 March, 2022


Swedish Match (SWMA SS) Sweden

Consumer Staples

Holland Advisors

A lollapalooza opportunity - where strong growth, pricing power, resilient market share and great allocation all come together. Post spin-off of the cigar business c.95% of EBIT will come from smoke free products, but it is the potential of the company’s ZYN pouch product in the US which Andrew Hollingworth is most excited about. His analysis looks to dispel investor concerns around rivals’ attempts to gain market share by undercutting ZYN's prices. Andrew has also built two models to look at what the future compounding of SWMA might look like - results in 12% and 19% annual returns over the next 7 years.

Edition: 128

- 04 February, 2022