EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

Fortnightly Publication Highlighting Latest Insights From IRF Providers

Company Research

Tenneco (TEN)

Consumer Discretionary

AlphaSituations

The merger spread has widened significantly since Apollo Global Management’s all-cash offer for TEN was first disclosed (currently stands at 18% having hit 37% in May). So, is the TEN situation simply a victim of the current market disruption or is there something more to this spread? Robert Sassoon assesses the regulatory risk (low) as well as the risk of APO reconsidering the transaction (unlikely). Assuming the transaction closes by the end of the year, there remains considerable IRR to game in the 30-55% range, but even if the deal closes in 1Q23 you are still looking at an IRR in excess of 20%.

Edition: 137

- 10 June, 2022