EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

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Thomson Reuters (TRI)

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Huber Research Partners

AI-hype is aboard the TRI express with the shares recently hitting an all-time high. The stock sells at 23.5x 2025E EBITDA, 40x 2025E Earnings and 37x FCF. This is higher than any other Information Services company Huber Research tracks apart from MSCI (rated OW), but MSCI has a huge moat around its business and 60% EBITDA margins. That is not to say CEO Steve Hasker has not been masterful in re-positioning TRI into growth opportunities and raising the margin profile of the company’s three key segments, but at the end of the day, this is a 6-7% organic growth story, with EBITDA margins in the mid-40% range. Douglas Arthur now estimates 2024 adj. EPS of $3.54 per share (prior $3.80).

Edition: 180

- 23 February, 2024