EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

Fortnightly Publication Highlighting Latest Insights From IRF Providers

Company Research

Trial Holdings (5882)

Consumer Staples

Aequitas Research

Looking to raise US$375m in its upcoming IPO - TH operates a network of retail stores in Japan that offer one-stop shopping under its EDLP model. On the back of store addition (added 40 stores FY19-1H23; plans to add >20 more each year from FY24 onwards) and strong SSSG, FY22 sales were up 12.4% Y/Y, while 1H23 sales were up 10.9% Y/Y. However, the company’s net profit margin remains wafer thin at just 1%. In addition, TH's focus on low prices might make it difficult for it to pass on some of the recent price increases in food items. Finally, there are a lot of small shareholders who will still own ~16% of the company. Post lock up (180 days) they may well look to sell more shares.

Edition: 156

- 17 March, 2023