EVENTS:   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 12 - Zach Shannon/Corto Capital Advisors & Craig Huber/Huber Research Partners & Thomas Beevers /Forensic Alpha & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & Bill Campbell/Paragon Intel - 12 Nov 25   Will AI Deflate the World? Macro Lessons from Three Industrial Revolutions and China - Manoj Pradhan/Talking Heads Macro - 13 Nov 25     ROADSHOWS: Forest Products Sector Equity and Commodity Research With Expertise in Distressed Debt - Kevin Mason /ERA Research   •   London   12 - 14 Nov 25       Buyside to Buyside Forum and Expert Calls across TMT, Consumer, Healthcare and Fintech - Andrew Peters /Revelare Partners   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   17 - 19 Nov 25      

Fortnightly Publication Highlighting Latest Insights From IRF Providers

Company Research

Warner Music Group (WMG)

Communications

Abacus Research

Pricing power - this 38-page in-depth report highlights the industry’s favourable characteristics (capital light, low competition and consumer staple like nature) and WMG’s compounder qualities (highly predictable FCF, consistent margins and returns). After 10 years of streaming platforms & labels keeping subscription prices low to attract new subscribers, the time is now ripe for increasing prices. Abacus analysts believe an EV/EBITDA of 16x 2024 is appropriate for a one year forward fair value. They estimate 2024 EBITDA of $1.5bn, giving a M/Cap of $21bn or $42 share price (55% upside).

Edition: 148

- 11 November, 2022