Industrials
Post 3Q23 results Pete Skibitski increases his two-year outlook (through FY25) for revenue, EBITDA and cash flow - AVAV's funded backlog grew an impressive 41.2% Q/Q to $413.9m, which also followed a 43.7% increase in 2Q23. Ukraine wardriven demand continues to propel firm order flow for small UAS and tactical missile systems. At this point, FY23 revenue looks set to grow in the double-digits; management is targeting DD growth in FY24 as well. Product mix is improving, as are margin rates. With more order flow expected due to global defence spending demands, Pete sees AVAV outperforming the S&P 500 over the next 12 months.
Edition: 156
- 17 March, 2023
Industrials
Pete Skibitski upgrades the stock to Buy post 4Q22 - a big part of his improved outlook for AVAV relates to expectations for higher defence spending in Europe, along with the need to replace TMS-related stock in the US (much of which has been supplied to Ukraine). The firm has now garnered US export approval of its Switchblade 300, and the larger 600, to more than 20 countries, from just 1 recently. Supply chain and labour challenges remain, but Pete expects these to alleviate as we get deeper into FY23.
Edition: 139
- 08 July, 2022