EVENTS:   The Roaring 2020s or a Rerun of the 1970s? - Edward Yardeni/Yardeni Research - 24 Mar 26   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 13 - Thomas Chanos/Badger Consultants & Dr. Aaron Fletcher/Bios Research & Jonathan Telgener/Channel Dynamics & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & John Zolidis/Quo Vadis Capital & Mark Hiley/The Analyst - 26 Mar 26     ROADSHOWS: Chinese Equity Ideas & Channel Checks Across 50 sub-sectors - Don Ma /Horizon Insights   •   London   23 - 27 Mar 26       Long Short European Equity Research - Harry Grist /The Analyst   •   New York   26 Mar 26       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   27 - 27 Mar 26      
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Saint-Gobain (SGO FP) France

Industrials

Iron Blue Financials

Following publication of its FY24 registration document, Iron Blue increases their SGO score to 27/60 (newly top quartile). This principally reflects FY24’s P&L benefit from compression in the expense for inventory and bad debtor impairment provisions, which could provide a tough comp effect in FY25. They also note two new contingent liabilities related to a new Grenfell Tower claim brought against SGO subsidiaries as well as assumed Australia asbestos liabilities with FY24’s CSR acquisition. For the first time the FY24 annual report quantified SGO’s reverse factoring activities (€106m). Iron Blue continues to flag sustained stripped out costs and an elevated gap between PPE capex and the P&L depreciation charge.

Edition: 223

- 31 October, 2025


Saint-Gobain (SGO FP) France

Industrials

Iron Blue Financials

SGO’s Iron Blue score increases to 26/60 (newly top quartile / fertile grounds for shorting). This reflects an expanded gap between PPE capex and the P&L depreciation charge (14% of PBT adj, vs. 11% and 7% the two previous years) and another increase in receivables factoring (+6% y/y, +40% since FY20). Stripped out one-off costs remained elevated (10% of FY23 PBT adj). A new contingent liability was named in FY23 concerning competition authority investigations into the additives and admixtures sector in the EU, UK and Turkey, while class actions were instituted in the US and Canada. SGO has also continued to consolidate its Russian operations despite seemingly operating independently from the rest of the group. Iron Blue calculates that €112m of gross cash was stranded in Russia.

Edition: 183

- 05 April, 2024