EVENTS:   The Roaring 2020s or a Rerun of the 1970s? - Edward Yardeni/Yardeni Research - 24 Mar 26   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 13 - Thomas Chanos/Badger Consultants & Dr. Aaron Fletcher/Bios Research & Jonathan Telgener/Channel Dynamics & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & John Zolidis/Quo Vadis Capital & Mark Hiley/The Analyst - 26 Mar 26     ROADSHOWS: Chinese Equity Ideas & Channel Checks Across 50 sub-sectors - Don Ma /Horizon Insights   •   London   23 - 27 Mar 26       Long Short European Equity Research - Harry Grist /The Analyst   •   New York   26 Mar 26       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   27 - 27 Mar 26      
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Company Research

UK Mid Caps: Cheap Tech

Willis Welby

Basic metrics for Willis Welby’s UK mid cap Tech coverage remain compelling - financial productivity is universally strong, the median implied to Y3 EBITM ratio is just 66 and the median consensus Y3 revenue growth is 9.1%. Highlighted stocks include Moneysupermarket - boasts a great balance sheet, decent growth and an implied to Y3 EBITM ratio of just 45. This share price would not feel strange 50% higher. Kainos - impressive growth model with good returns, a strong balance sheet and a cautious share price. The implied to Y3 EBITM ratio is back down at 66. This combination warrants a further move of 30%+ and a share price of at least GBP 14.00.

Edition: 182

- 22 March, 2024


Seriously cheap UK mid caps

Willis Welby

The median implied to Y3 EBITM ratio for Willis Welby’s UK coverage is now 68 for which you get median consensus Y3 revenue growth of 5.4%. And over the last three months the median move in Y2 EBIT is still an UPGRADE of 0.8%. The Q2 reporting season could be a rude wake up call, but so far, they cannot see the huge economic downturn that is priced into this part of their coverage. And if it does not materialise, then UK mid cap shares are seriously cheap. Industrials (Manufacturing & Support Services) look particularly interesting - highlights Coats, Morgan Advanced, Qinetiq, Hays and Serco. They also see decent revisions and a compelling balance of growth and expectations across Technology names such as Team17, Moneysupermarket, Auction Technology and Kainos.

Edition: 165

- 21 July, 2023


UK Mid Cap Technical Review

Messels

The FTSE 250 index finds support at the bottom of the 2023 range but is still losing relative momentum vs. the FTSE 100 index. Messels continues to see selective improvement in IT Services stocks such as Computacenter (renews price and relative bases at 2020 peaks), Kainos (has rallied from support at the bottom of recent ranges) and Softcat (finding 6-year uptrend support). They have a new Buy on Playtech (reaches support from the prior range and holds the relative base). In Real Estate, they highlight opportunities in Big Yellow and Safestore. They have also closed their long in Plus500 after the stock found resistance at the highs and lost relative momentum.

Edition: 158

- 14 April, 2023