EVENTS:   The Roaring 2020s or a Rerun of the 1970s? - Edward Yardeni/Yardeni Research - 24 Mar 26   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 13 - Thomas Chanos/Badger Consultants & Dr. Aaron Fletcher/Bios Research & Jonathan Telgener/Channel Dynamics & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & John Zolidis/Quo Vadis Capital & Mark Hiley/The Analyst - 26 Mar 26     ROADSHOWS: Chinese Equity Ideas & Channel Checks Across 50 sub-sectors - Don Ma /Horizon Insights   •   London   23 - 27 Mar 26       Long Short European Equity Research - Harry Grist /The Analyst   •   New York   26 Mar 26       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   27 - 27 Mar 26      
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Fortnightly Publication Highlighting Latest Insights From IRF Providers

Company Research

Accounting red flags surface in latest filings

Forensic Alpha

At Nexans, supplier financing increased, with payables under third-party bank arrangements rising from €341m at FY24 to €449m at FY25. Receivables securitisation and factoring programmes also grew, from €181m to €201m over the same period. Nordex saw contract assets rise from 37 to 48 days equivalent, offset by a matching surge in trade payables that neutralised cash flow impact. Accor disclosed a notable jump in long-term loans to Orient-Express entities following deconsolidation, while Airbus recorded an increase in receivables past due (from 25% of total receivables to 31%) and a release of provisions amounting to a total of €634m, a large amount of which was via “other risks and charges”.

Edition: 231

- 06 March, 2026


New accounting and governance red flags

Forensic Alpha

Forensic Alpha is a machine intelligence system that is able to scan through a company's filings, extracting relevant accounting and governance data. Their technology works by translating unstructured data found in the notes to the accounts and governance disclosures into structured data. They then process that data, searching for the presence of common red flags that are known to be indicators of weak fundamentals and / or imminent problems. 147 new company filings were processed in the past week across Europe. 29 companies saw significant new red flags. While this report focuses on Nordex (Contract Assets, Ageing of Receivables, Related Party Transactions), other stocks highlighted include Hellenic Telecommunications, Ubisoft, Merck KGaA and Hapag-Lloyd.

Edition: 187

- 31 May, 2024


Nordex (NDX1 GR)

Energy

Forensic Alpha

Papering over the cracks - longer-term earnings power is being overestimated creating a compelling short opportunity. Forensic Alpha’s 15-page report focuses on the wind turbine manufacturer's lack of development spend vs. competitors and how the growth of Chinese manufacturers puts it at a competitive disadvantage. Furthermore, following the release of Nordex's annual report, Forensic Alpha’s MI system flags several accounting issues / assigns the company the maximum risk score.

Edition: 136

- 27 May, 2022