EVENTS:   The Roaring 2020s or a Rerun of the 1970s? - Edward Yardeni/Yardeni Research - 24 Mar 26   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 13 - Thomas Chanos/Badger Consultants & Dr. Aaron Fletcher/Bios Research & Jonathan Telgener/Channel Dynamics & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & John Zolidis/Quo Vadis Capital & Mark Hiley/The Analyst - 26 Mar 26     ROADSHOWS: Chinese Equity Ideas & Channel Checks Across 50 sub-sectors - Don Ma /Horizon Insights   •   London   23 - 27 Mar 26       Long Short European Equity Research - Harry Grist /The Analyst   •   New York   26 Mar 26       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   27 - 27 Mar 26      
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SBM Offshore (SBMO NA) Netherlands

Energy

the IDEA!

SBMO delivered another impressive performance in H1 and raised FY25 guidance. The Fast4Ward model is proving highly effective: in the past 7 months, 3 FPSOs with a combined 650kbpd capacity have achieved first oil, with unprecedented time-to-market that sets SBMO apart. While net debt of $5.6bn is still a concern for some investors and came in above consensus, it largely reflects new FPSO construction financing and the IDEA! expects deleveraging to progress as planned. This underpins its $1.7bn dividend / buyback commitment through 2030, with further upside from new orders and two unallocated hulls. Given SBMO’s continued strong performance, the IDEA! reiterates their positive stance.

Edition: 218

- 22 August, 2025


SBM Offshore (SBMO NA) Netherlands

Energy

the IDEA!

Despite a positive outlook for new orders SBMO shares still trade at a relatively high discount to NPV - highlights opportunities to win additional contracts with the likes of Exxon where FPSOs SBMO has been building are very efficient (breakeven price for the ONE Guyana FPSO is pegged at $29/BBL Brent). Analysts at the IDEA have previously demonstrated that each new FPSO contract could add up to €1 to €2 per share in the NPV of the company’s L&O portfolio. This value already amounts to between €19 and €23 per share based on discount rates of 8% and 6% respectively. SBMO shares currently trade at €13.70.

Edition: 135

- 13 May, 2022