Siemens Energy (ENR GR) Germany

Industrials

Starling Advisors

Massive overreaction as the share price plunges nearly 40% following a profit warning in the Siemens Gamesa division - the drop erased €7bn in ENR’s market value vs. restructuring costs estimated at ~€1bn. While Alex Dwek thinks it probably means break-even for SGRE is delayed by a year or so, the trend towards cleaner energy is accelerating and ENR is entering a new phase of growth with a good-quality record-high backlog in Gas Services, Grid Technology, and Transformation of Industry, which should convert into high revenue growth, margin expansion and profitability. On Aug 7th management will provide Q3 results and give more visibility on costs, which should act as a catalyst to restore credibility. TP €24.00 (60% upside).

- 07 July, 2023

FTSEurofirst 80 Index: Bullish & Bearish Themes

Technical Analysis

Messels

Recycling and Renewable Energy stocks such as Umicore, Vestas Wind and Siemens Gamesa are rallying from medium term support. Selective Seafood and Tobacco stocks remain defensive including SalMar, Mowi and Scandinavian Tobacco. Banks are generally rallying in ranges; favours CaixaBank and Sabadell which have already broken out and extend relative bases.

Industrials have broken uptrends and are now losing relative momentum such as Schneider, Atlas Copco and Alfa Laval. Luxury Goods renew their 4-month price and relative tops including Pandora, LVMH, Dior and Hermes. IT Hardware and Semiconductors renew their 5-month price and relative tops; SeSa, BE Semiconductor, Infineon and Nordic Semiconductor are highlighted.

- 27 May, 2022