EVENTS:   The Roaring 2020s or a Rerun of the 1970s? - Edward Yardeni/Yardeni Research - 24 Mar 26   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 13 - Thomas Chanos/Badger Consultants & Dr. Aaron Fletcher/Bios Research & Jonathan Telgener/Channel Dynamics & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & John Zolidis/Quo Vadis Capital & Mark Hiley/The Analyst - 26 Mar 26     ROADSHOWS: Chinese Equity Ideas & Channel Checks Across 50 sub-sectors - Don Ma /Horizon Insights   •   London   23 - 27 Mar 26       Long Short European Equity Research - Harry Grist /The Analyst   •   New York   26 Mar 26       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   27 - 27 Mar 26      
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Tenneco (TEN)

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The merger spread has widened significantly since Apollo Global Management’s all-cash offer for TEN was first disclosed (currently stands at 18% having hit 37% in May). So, is the TEN situation simply a victim of the current market disruption or is there something more to this spread? Robert Sassoon assesses the regulatory risk (low) as well as the risk of APO reconsidering the transaction (unlikely). Assuming the transaction closes by the end of the year, there remains considerable IRR to game in the 30-55% range, but even if the deal closes in 1Q23 you are still looking at an IRR in excess of 20%.

Edition: 137

- 10 June, 2022