EVENTS:   The Roaring 2020s or a Rerun of the 1970s? - Edward Yardeni/Yardeni Research - 24 Mar 26   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 13 - Thomas Chanos/Badger Consultants & Dr. Aaron Fletcher/Bios Research & Jonathan Telgener/Channel Dynamics & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & John Zolidis/Quo Vadis Capital & Mark Hiley/The Analyst - 26 Mar 26     ROADSHOWS: Chinese Equity Ideas & Channel Checks Across 50 sub-sectors - Don Ma /Horizon Insights   •   London   23 - 27 Mar 26       Long Short European Equity Research - Harry Grist /The Analyst   •   New York   26 Mar 26       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   27 - 27 Mar 26      
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AI-hype is aboard the TRI express with the shares recently hitting an all-time high. The stock sells at 23.5x 2025E EBITDA, 40x 2025E Earnings and 37x FCF. This is higher than any other Information Services company Huber Research tracks apart from MSCI (rated OW), but MSCI has a huge moat around its business and 60% EBITDA margins. That is not to say CEO Steve Hasker has not been masterful in re-positioning TRI into growth opportunities and raising the margin profile of the company’s three key segments, but at the end of the day, this is a 6-7% organic growth story, with EBITDA margins in the mid-40% range. Douglas Arthur now estimates 2024 adj. EPS of $3.54 per share (prior $3.80).

Edition: 180

- 23 February, 2024