EVENTS:   The Roaring 2020s or a Rerun of the 1970s? - Edward Yardeni/Yardeni Research - 24 Mar 26   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 13 - Thomas Chanos/Badger Consultants & Dr. Aaron Fletcher/Bios Research & Jonathan Telgener/Channel Dynamics & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & John Zolidis/Quo Vadis Capital & Mark Hiley/The Analyst - 26 Mar 26     ROADSHOWS: Chinese Equity Ideas & Channel Checks Across 50 sub-sectors - Don Ma /Horizon Insights   •   London   23 - 27 Mar 26       Long Short European Equity Research - Harry Grist /The Analyst   •   New York   26 Mar 26       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   27 - 27 Mar 26      
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Granite Construction (GVA)

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Thompson Research Group

TRG has maintained a bullish view of GVA in the past few years, as the company worked down its Old Risk Portfolio and executed on a low-risk consistent growth strategy. The stock is valued at ~5x EV/EBITDA, which TRG believes is overly punitive and lumps it in with Fluor and Tutor Perini. They believe this is the wrong peer set. Instead, GVA should be compared to Construction Partners and Knife River, who sell at ~10x EV/EBITDA. These three companies have vertically integrated operations (materials producers + contracting services). ROAD and KNF have consistently produced better margins than GVA, but GVA’s 2024 targets show that it can close that gap.

Edition: 169

- 15 September, 2023