EVENTS:   The Roaring 2020s or a Rerun of the 1970s? - Edward Yardeni/Yardeni Research - 24 Mar 26   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 13 - Thomas Chanos/Badger Consultants & Dr. Aaron Fletcher/Bios Research & Jonathan Telgener/Channel Dynamics & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & John Zolidis/Quo Vadis Capital & Mark Hiley/The Analyst - 26 Mar 26     ROADSHOWS: Chinese Equity Ideas & Channel Checks Across 50 sub-sectors - Don Ma /Horizon Insights   •   London   23 - 27 Mar 26       Long Short European Equity Research - Harry Grist /The Analyst   •   New York   26 Mar 26       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   27 - 27 Mar 26      
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Warner Music Group (WMG)

Communications

Abacus Research

Pricing power - this 38-page in-depth report highlights the industry’s favourable characteristics (capital light, low competition and consumer staple like nature) and WMG’s compounder qualities (highly predictable FCF, consistent margins and returns). After 10 years of streaming platforms & labels keeping subscription prices low to attract new subscribers, the time is now ripe for increasing prices. Abacus analysts believe an EV/EBITDA of 16x 2024 is appropriate for a one year forward fair value. They estimate 2024 EBITDA of $1.5bn, giving a M/Cap of $21bn or $42 share price (55% upside).

Edition: 148

- 11 November, 2022