EVENTS:   The Roaring 2020s or a Rerun of the 1970s? - Edward Yardeni/Yardeni Research - 24 Mar 26   Best Equity Short Ideas Conference Call 13 - Thomas Chanos/Badger Consultants & Dr. Aaron Fletcher/Bios Research & Jonathan Telgener/Channel Dynamics & Ed Steele/Iron Blue Financials & John Zolidis/Quo Vadis Capital & Mark Hiley/The Analyst - 26 Mar 26     ROADSHOWS: Chinese Equity Ideas & Channel Checks Across 50 sub-sectors - Don Ma /Horizon Insights   •   London   23 - 27 Mar 26       Long Short European Equity Research - Harry Grist /The Analyst   •   New York   26 Mar 26       Fundamental US Healthcare Short Ideas - Dr Elliot Favus /Favus Institutional Research   •   London   27 - 27 Mar 26      
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Expectations analysis for European Apparel & Branded Goods

Consumer Discretionary

Willis Welby

Luxury Goods have had a reputation for being one of Europe’s growth areas for a long time and last month they performed well ahead of wider indices. Although the median implied to Y3 EBITM ratio of Willis Welby’s large cap universe is now 96, that still feels tenable given the generally high levels of financial productivity and the almost universal high levels of current and projected revenue growth. In this note, they focus on Cucinelli. While the company is currently on a roll, Willis Welby finds expectations ratios far too high and financial productivity too low. The likes of Kering, Inditex, Richemont and Moncler look far more appealing.

Edition: 151

- 06 January, 2023