EVENTS:   Acceleration in the Energy Transition - David Scott/CHA-AM Advisors - 12 May 26     ROADSHOWS: Consumer Research & Industry Trends focused on US Retail, E-Tail, and Consumer Products Companies - Scott Mushkin /R5 Capital   •   London   07 - 08 May 26       US Equity Short Research & Strategy - Zach Shannon /Corto Capital Advisors   •   New York   18 - 19 May 26       Investing in Constraint: Governance, Scarcity, and the Next Phase of the Energy Transition - François Boutin-Dufresne & Félix-A. Boudreault & Lenka Martinek /Sustainable Market Strategies   •   London   18 - 19 May 26      

US Equity Market 2024 Outlook

Trivariate Research

Fri 12 Jan 2024 - 14:00 GMT / 09:00 EST

Summary

Adam Parker focused on US Equity Strategy for ’24. He highlighted positive economic indicators and the ongoing debate about the consumer side, industrial complex, and Federal Reserve intervention. Sector recommendations favored energy, healthcare services, and utilities, with a cautious approach to discretionary and select industrials. Adam sees idiosyncratic risk, extensive analyst coverage, and quantitative challenges in replication as reasons to avoid significant bets on the “Magnificent Seven". Instead, he emphasized a preference for software over semiconductors for tech investors. Trivariate's research methodologies were also highlighted, showcasing innovative approaches such as: exploring wage pressure in union-heavy industrials, tracking AI-related stocks through earnings call mentions, studying the impact of retail shrink on store growth, and using natural language processing to establish semiconductor inventory trends.

Topics

Key market debates and controversies

Areas of available alpha

Risks

Top industry ideas

Management decision making – capital uses